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人工智能是自动化技术的最新形式，正被逐步应用到生产和服务的各个领域。基于“熊彼特式增长范式”的机制，本文预测人工智能革命将像历史上的电力革命和信息技术革命一样，提升企业生产率，提高经济增长潜力。这轮技术革命也可能会带来熊彼特式增长困境，加剧收入不平等，给世界各国的经济发展和社会环境带来重大冲击。因此，政府需要采取一系列政策来应对这些冲击，包括实施鼓励创新和竞争的产业政策，改进教育体系，完善社会保障体系，调节收入再分配，以及进行多维度的国际合作。
Abstract：Artificial intelligence represents the latest form of automation technology and has been increasingly integrated into various sectors of production and services. Based on the mechanism of the “Schumpeterian growth paradigm”, this paper predicts that the artificial intelligence revolution will, similar to the historical electricity revolution and information technology revolution, enhance corporate productivity and increase the potential for economic growth. However, this technological revolution may also lead to a Schumpeterian growth dilemma, exacerbating income inequality and imposing significant disruptions on the economic development and social fabric of nations worldwide. Consequently, governments must implement a series of policy measures to address these challenges, including fostering industrial policies that encourage innovation and competition, improving educational systems, strengthening social security frameworks, balancing income redistribution, and promoting multi-dimensional international cooperation.
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(1)详见https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/artificial%20intelligence。
(2)参见戈登(2018),第524页,图16.5。
(3)参见Commission de l'Intelligence Artificielle(2024),第38页,图3:使用AI对经济增长的总体预期影响。
基本信息:
中图分类号:D035;TP18
引用信息:
[1]菲利普·阿吉翁.人工智能时代政府应该做什么——基于熊彼特式增长范式的视角[J].政府与市场经济研究,2026,2(01):1-16.
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2026-03-15